Toulouse vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
10.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1996 |
CAE
2 - 0
TFC
63%
22%
16%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1996 |
TFC
4 - 2
DUN
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1996 |
PER
0 - 1
TFC
33%
29%
39%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
TFC
2 - 2
AMI
60%
23%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
TFC
0 - 1
ANG
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 1996 |
SPI
2 - 0
POI
59%
24%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1996 |
ASN
3 - 0
SPI
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1996 |
SPI
1 - 2
LOR
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 1996 |
OLY
0 - 0
SPI
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1996 |
FCM
2 - 1
SPI
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |