Toulouse vs QRM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 4
TFC
22%
26%
53%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 1
PFC
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
AUX
1 - 2
TFC
33%
26%
42%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
TFC
6 - 0
AMI
66%
20%
14%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
CAE
4 - 1
TFC
17%
25%
58%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
QUE
2 - 0
ROD
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
QUE
0 - 2
SOC
24%
28%
49%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
NIO
2 - 0
QUE
42%
28%
30%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
QUE
0 - 0
AJA
28%
29%
43%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
GUI
1 - 1
QUE
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |