Toulouse vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
12.7%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2022 |
ROD
1 - 0
TFC
11%
22%
67%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 0
NIO
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
SOC
1 - 1
TFC
24%
26%
51%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
TFC
2 - 0
QUE
79%
14%
6%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
GUI
2 - 4
TFC
22%
26%
53%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ASN
1 - 3
NÎM
22%
25%
53%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2022 |
NÎM
3 - 2
ROD
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2022 |
QUE
0 - 1
NÎM
25%
26%
49%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
NÎM
1 - 3
SOC
40%
28%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NIO
0 - 0
NÎM
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |