Toulouse vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
REN
1 - 1
TFC
50%
25%
25%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
TFC
2 - 3
ASS
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
ANG
0 - 0
TFC
36%
28%
36%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
TFC
1 - 1
MON
17%
20%
64%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
TFC
2 - 1
EIB
30%
27%
43%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
NIC
0 - 3
PSG
10%
17%
73%
|
82 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
NAN
1 - 2
NIC
24%
26%
50%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
MPL
1 - 0
NIC
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2018 |
NIC
2 - 1
REN
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
LYO
0 - 1
NIC
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |