Toulouse vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 3
TFC
36%
30%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 0
GIR
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 1
TFC
37%
30%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 0
ETG
48%
27%
25%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
VAL
0 - 0
TFC
47%
27%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NIC
0 - 1
MAR
36%
27%
37%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
ASN
1 - 0
NIC
32%
27%
41%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 0
MPL
39%
27%
34%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ASS
4 - 0
NIC
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
NIC
2 - 0
REI
64%
23%
14%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |