Toulouse vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
35.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
NAN
1 - 1
TFC
63%
23%
14%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2003 |
TFC
1 - 2
LEN
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
AJA
2 - 1
TFC
46%
28%
26%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
TFC
1 - 1
LMU
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SOC
3 - 1
TFC
68%
20%
12%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 1
MPL
40%
28%
33%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 1
MET
43%
29%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PSG
0 - 0
NIC
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 0
BAS
33%
29%
38%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
LYO
5 - 0
NIC
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |