Toulouse vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
16.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
SPO
0 - 0
TFC
39%
29%
32%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1989 |
NAN
0 - 1
TFC
46%
28%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
TFC
1 - 1
AUX
44%
28%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
MAR
6 - 1
TFC
68%
19%
12%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
TFC
0 - 0
LYO
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1990 |
NIC
1 - 2
NAN
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1989 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIC
78%
15%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1989 |
NIC
1 - 0
LYO
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1989 |
FCM
1 - 0
NIC
46%
27%
27%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1989 |
NIC
1 - 1
AUX
44%
27%
30%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |