Toulouse vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
27.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1953 |
LEN
1 - 1
TFC
59%
20%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1953 |
MON
2 - 3
TFC
68%
17%
15%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
LHA
2 - 2
TFC
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1951 |
TFC
0 - 0
SÈT
54%
22%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
TFC
1 - 0
RAC
46%
23%
30%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1953 |
ASN
2 - 1
MET
60%
21%
20%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1953 |
SÈT
1 - 0
ASN
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
RAC
1 - 2
ASN
55%
21%
24%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
ASN
3 - 0
MPL
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
REI
0 - 2
ASN
70%
16%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |