Toulouse vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
NAN
2 - 1
TFC
36%
29%
35%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 0
ASS
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
TFC
4 - 2
CLE
61%
22%
16%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
ANG
0 - 1
TFC
45%
28%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
TFC
1 - 0
AMI
59%
23%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
MET
0 - 3
LIL
28%
29%
43%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LYO
2 - 0
MET
84%
12%
5%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
MET
1 - 0
RED
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
MET
1 - 2
DIJ
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
ASS
3 - 1
MET
62%
24%
14%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |