Toulouse vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
37.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
LYO
3 - 1
TFC
70%
19%
12%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
TFC
3 - 4
NIC
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AJA
2 - 3
TFC
36%
30%
35%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
TFC
0 - 0
GIR
29%
27%
44%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 1
TFC
37%
30%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
ASS
1 - 2
LOR
52%
24%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
LOR
4 - 1
BAS
59%
23%
18%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
LIL
5 - 0
LOR
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GIR
1 - 1
LOR
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
4 - 0
BRE
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |