Toulouse vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
24.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
TFC
2 - 2
BRU
50%
27%
23%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LYO
2 - 1
TFC
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
TFC
2 - 0
LMU
45%
27%
28%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
2 - 3
TFC
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
ASN
0 - 0
TFC
42%
27%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 1
PSG
33%
29%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
GRE
60%
24%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
LOR
3 - 1
ASN
40%
28%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2009 |
LYO
1 - 0
LOR
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
LOR
1 - 0
LMU
39%
27%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |