Toulouse vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2006 |
NAN
0 - 2
TFC
55%
26%
19%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LIL
1 - 3
TFC
65%
22%
13%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
TFC
2 - 2
ASN
44%
28%
29%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 2
TFC
45%
27%
28%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2006 |
TFC
1 - 0
NIC
39%
29%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2006 |
PSG
3 - 1
LOR
72%
18%
10%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
LOR
1 - 3
LYO
16%
23%
60%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
LMU
1 - 1
LOR
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
LOR
3 - 1
NAN
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
LEN
1 - 1
LOR
69%
19%
12%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | +1 |