Toulouse vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27%
48.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2019 |
TFC
2 - 0
EIB
23%
26%
50%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 3
GIR
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MET
2 - 2
TFC
39%
27%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
TFC
0 - 2
ANG
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
NÎM
1 - 0
TFC
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 2
NÎM
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
LIL
1 - 2
CHL
24%
24%
51%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
NIC
1 - 1
LIL
37%
27%
35%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
LIL
2 - 0
STR
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
REN
1 - 1
LIL
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |