Toulouse vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
33%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
REN
2 - 1
TFC
48%
27%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2018 |
CAE
0 - 0
TFC
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
TFC
2 - 0
ANG
45%
28%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
TFC
0 - 1
DIJ
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
LYO
2 - 0
TFC
80%
13%
6%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
LIL
3 - 1
MET
59%
24%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
5 - 1
LIL
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
LIL
2 - 2
GUI
49%
26%
25%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
GIR
2 - 1
LIL
44%
27%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
LIL
0 - 1
AMI
61%
23%
16%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |