Toulouse vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
REN
1 - 3
TFC
47%
26%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
NAN
1 - 1
TFC
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TFC
2 - 3
LOR
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
TRO
0 - 3
TFC
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TFC
2 - 0
NIC
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
STL
66%
23%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LIL
3 - 0
LOR
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CAE
1 - 2
LIL
37%
28%
35%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2015 |
LIL
1 - 0
ASS
34%
29%
37%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ANG
2 - 0
LIL
25%
29%
46%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |