Toulouse vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
41.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
ASN
2 - 1
TFC
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
TFC
1 - 1
TRO
53%
25%
22%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
NIC
0 - 1
TFC
47%
28%
25%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
MON
2 - 0
TFC
67%
21%
12%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
TFC
2 - 0
LYO
17%
24%
58%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2007 |
LIL
0 - 0
NAN
61%
23%
16%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2007 |
NAN
1 - 0
LIL
32%
30%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
GIR
0 - 1
LIL
42%
28%
30%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2007 |
LIL
1 - 0
PSG
57%
25%
18%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
STR
2 - 3
LIL
33%
29%
38%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |