Toulouse vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.9%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
41.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2006 |
TFC
0 - 2
MON
23%
29%
48%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
TFC
1 - 0
PSG
30%
29%
41%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
LYO
2 - 1
TFC
13%
24%
64%
|
80 | 45 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
NIC
2 - 1
TFC
46%
29%
25%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
TFC
2 - 0
PSG
31%
30%
39%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2006 |
LIL
3 - 0
SOC
49%
27%
24%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
TRO
1 - 0
LIL
29%
29%
42%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 1
LIL
36%
30%
34%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2006 |
LIL
2 - 0
AJA
60%
24%
16%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2005 |
MON
1 - 0
LIL
61%
23%
16%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |