Toulouse vs Gazélec Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
MPL
2 - 0
TFC
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
TFC
0 - 0
NAN
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NIC
1 - 0
TFC
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
TFC
1 - 2
GUI
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 0
TFC
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Gazélec Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
GAZ
2 - 3
TRO
48%
26%
26%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
SAI
1 - 2
GAZ
14%
22%
64%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
GAZ
0 - 0
GUI
36%
28%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
NAN
3 - 1
GAZ
54%
26%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
GAZ
0 - 4
MPL
33%
28%
39%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |