Toulouse vs Niort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
17.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1994 |
MAR
1 - 0
TFC
79%
14%
7%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
TFC
3 - 1
OLY
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
SED
1 - 4
TFC
44%
28%
29%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
TFC
1 - 0
ASN
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1994 |
STA
2 - 2
TFC
44%
27%
29%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Niort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1994 |
NIO
1 - 2
GUI
35%
30%
35%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
STL
1 - 0
NIO
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
NIO
1 - 0
PER
50%
28%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1994 |
DUN
0 - 0
NIO
54%
26%
20%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1994 |
NIO
2 - 2
RED
38%
30%
32%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |