Toulouse vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
LOR
1 - 1
TFC
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
TFC
4 - 0
ANG
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 3
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 0
TFC
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
TFC
0 - 1
NAN
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MPL
2 - 1
BAS
52%
25%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
CAE
45%
27%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2017 |
BAS
1 - 1
NIC
30%
28%
43%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
ASN
1 - 0
BAS
47%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
PSG
7 - 0
BAS
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |