Toulouse vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
STR
0 - 3
TFC
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1985 |
TFC
2 - 0
MET
45%
26%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
MON
3 - 0
TFC
65%
21%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
TFC
4 - 0
SPO
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 1985 |
NAN
1 - 0
TFC
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 0
AUX
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
2 - 0
STR
49%
27%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
MET
3 - 0
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1985 |
BAS
0 - 0
MON
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 1985 |
SOC
2 - 0
BAS
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |