Toulouse vs Auxerre analysis


84	ELO	82
-28.2%	Tilt	-13.5%
99º	General ELO ranking	181º
11º	Country ELO ranking	13º
ELO win probability

42.5%

Toulouse

28.9%

Draw

28.5%

Auxerre

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

42.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%

28.9%

Draw

0-0

11.3%

1-1

13.2%

2-2

3.8%

3-3

0.5%

4-4

<0%

0

28.9%

28.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-5%

+6%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Toulouse

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
18 Mar. 2012	REN 0 - 1 TFC 55% 25% 21%	83	85	2	0
10 Mar. 2012	TFC 1 - 1 LOR 38% 28% 34%	83	82	1	0
03 Mar. 2012	MAR 0 - 1 TFC 73% 18% 10%	83	90	7	0
26 Feb. 2012	TFC 2 - 0 SOC 43% 29% 28%	82	79	3	+1
18 Feb. 2012	ASN 0 - 3 TFC 43% 28% 29%	82	80	2	0

Matches

Auxerre

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO
17 Mar. 2012	AUX 0 - 2 ETG 48% 26% 26%	82	78	4
11 Mar. 2012	REN 1 - 1 AUX 56% 24% 20%	82	85	3
03 Mar. 2012	LIL 2 - 2 AUX 75% 16% 9%	82	89	7
25 Feb. 2012	AUX 0 - 0 ASS 43% 27% 30%	82	84	2
22 Feb. 2012	CAE 2 - 1 AUX 41% 27% 32%	82	78	4