Toulouse vs Ajaccio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
TFC
2 - 0
ROD
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
TFC
1 - 2
RSO
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
TFC
0 - 2
PAU
66%
20%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
TFC
2 - 1
SÈT
79%
14%
7%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
NAN
0 - 1
TFC
49%
24%
27%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ajaccio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
NÎM
1 - 0
AJA
60%
22%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
CAE
0 - 0
AJA
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2021 |
STL
1 - 2
AJA
26%
25%
49%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
QUE
0 - 3
AJA
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
AJA
2 - 1
FBB
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |