Champions League Playoffs. Quarter-finals
Global 4-4
Tottenham Hotspur vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
43.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tottenham Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
TOT
2 - 0
CRY
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
LIV
2 - 1
TOT
59%
21%
20%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SOU
2 - 1
TOT
14%
20%
66%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
BVB
0 - 1
TOT
48%
23%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
TOT
1 - 1
ARS
53%
22%
25%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
1 - 0
BHA
87%
9%
4%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
MAC
2 - 0
CAR
93%
6%
1%
|
93 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
FUL
0 - 2
MAC
5%
13%
82%
|
93 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SWA
2 - 3
MAC
8%
18%
74%
|
92 | 73 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2019 |
MAC
7 - 0
S04
82%
12%
6%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |