Total Chalaco vs Sporting Cristal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
29.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Total Chalaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
SBO
2 - 1
TOT
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
TOT
1 - 2
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
ALI
1 - 0
TOT
51%
24%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
TOT
1 - 3
MUN
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2007 |
TOT
3 - 2
MEL
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Cristal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
SPC
0 - 0
BOL
59%
22%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
SPO
2 - 0
SPC
42%
28%
30%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
SPC
3 - 1
UNI
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
CIE
1 - 0
SPC
61%
23%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
SPC
0 - 2
SPO
60%
22%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |