TOT vs BBCU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
SIS
1 - 1
TOT
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
TOT
0 - 1
BUR
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
TOT
1 - 1
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BAN
0 - 0
TOT
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
TOT
1 - 1
SIN
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
BBCU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2012 |
BBC
0 - 1
CHA
32%
28%
40%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
BAN
5 - 2
BBC
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2012 |
BBC
1 - 3
SIN
36%
29%
35%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
BEC
1 - 1
BBC
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2012 |
BBC
2 - 2
SAM
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |