TOT vs BBCU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
TOT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 1
BAN
55%
25%
20%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2009 |
CHO
2 - 1
TOT
47%
28%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
TOT
1 - 1
BUR
51%
27%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TOT
0 - 0
MUA
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAM
0 - 1
TOT
49%
27%
25%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
BBCU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
BBC
1 - 3
NAK
48%
26%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
BEC
5 - 0
BBC
53%
24%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
OSO
1 - 1
BBC
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
BBC
0 - 2
SIN
51%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
BBC
1 - 2
BAN
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |