Tossa vs Calonge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.3%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.4%
6.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tossa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BRD
1 - 1
TOS
10%
17%
72%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
TOS
3 - 0
CRI
65%
18%
18%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SGI
1 - 2
TOS
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TOS
3 - 2
CAL
64%
19%
18%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
TOS
4 - 2
TRL
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Calonge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CRI
3 - 2
CAL
66%
17%
17%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 2
CAL
32%
23%
45%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SVI
1 - 2
CAL
70%
16%
14%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 0
BEG
44%
22%
34%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
CAG
5 - 4
CAL
53%
21%
26%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |