Tosno vs Leningradets Gatchina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
5.8%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+128%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
4º
4º
21
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
22 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
21 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2018 |
UFA
5 - 0
TOS
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
TOS
2 - 1
AVA
70%
18%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
TOS
1 - 2
DIN
32%
27%
41%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
FCR
2 - 0
TOS
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
TOS
0 - 2
PER
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Leningradets Gatchina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
SLG
0 - 1
PSK
33%
23%
45%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
SSP
3 - 2
SLG
50%
21%
29%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2022 |
SLG
4 - 0
FKE
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 11 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
KKO
3 - 3
SLG
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
SLG
4 - 1
SVZ
29%
22%
50%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | +2 |