Tosno vs Sever Murmansk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tosno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
KRA
3 - 0
TOS
82%
13%
6%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2014 |
SPA
0 - 1
TOS
94%
5%
1%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2013 |
DNE
2 - 2
TOS
20%
25%
55%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
LOK
0 - 1
TOS
26%
26%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2013 |
TOS
0 - 0
URA
24%
24%
52%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SEV
2 - 4
ZEN
45%
25%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
TEK
0 - 0
SEV
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 0
SEV
74%
17%
10%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2013 |
SEV
1 - 0
VOL
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
SEV
2 - 2
KHI
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |