Toscal vs Union Chile analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
REA
3 - 1
TCF
66%
21%
13%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
TCF
2 - 1
SPO
61%
23%
16%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
UDO
1 - 0
TCF
55%
25%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
TCF
2 - 1
RAF
67%
21%
12%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
SDT
1 - 0
TCF
67%
21%
13%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Union Chile
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1981 |
UCC
1 - 4
RAC
61%
22%
17%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
EST
6 - 0
UCC
71%
18%
11%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1981 |
UCC
0 - 0
LAN
39%
29%
33%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1981 |
MAR
2 - 0
UCC
74%
17%
9%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1981 |
UCC
1 - 1
TEL
38%
28%
34%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |