Toscal vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
SDA
0 - 0
TCF
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
TCF
3 - 1
ALC
65%
18%
17%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
MAN
3 - 2
TCF
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
TCF
2 - 1
ACF
77%
13%
9%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
SAL
1 - 0
TCF
54%
21%
25%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
PUE
1 - 1
CAR
83%
11%
6%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
CAR
2 - 0
ZAM
68%
21%
11%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
ALB
1 - 0
CAR
56%
27%
16%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1977 |
CAR
4 - 1
PUE
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 57 | 16 | +3 |
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
CAR
3 - 1
PLA
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |