Toscal vs CD Manchego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
15.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
17.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
SDT
2 - 0
TCF
60%
22%
19%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
ALC
4 - 2
TCF
72%
19%
9%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
TCF
1 - 1
SDT
64%
22%
15%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
VAL
2 - 2
TCF
46%
28%
25%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
TCF
1 - 1
CPC
46%
28%
26%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1979 |
RAY
4 - 3
MAN
87%
10%
3%
|
35 | 72 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
MAN
1 - 0
CDS
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
CIE
2 - 1
MAN
58%
25%
17%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
MAN
3 - 1
PLA
61%
23%
15%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
DBN
1 - 1
MAN
72%
18%
9%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |