Toscal vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
CDS
1 - 1
TCF
45%
27%
28%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
TCF
1 - 1
ZAR
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
VAL
3 - 0
TCF
44%
27%
29%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
TCF
2 - 0
SDA
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
TCF
3 - 0
COL
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
CDT
1 - 1
COL
72%
19%
9%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
NUM
2 - 1
CDT
62%
23%
16%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
CDT
1 - 1
LEG
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
CIE
1 - 1
CDT
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1979 |
CDT
2 - 1
ACF
58%
24%
18%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |