Toscal vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.4%
18%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
LEG
3 - 0
TCF
54%
22%
23%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
TCF
1 - 2
COL
73%
16%
12%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
CAR
2 - 0
TCF
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
TCF
5 - 0
SDA
83%
11%
6%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
ALC
1 - 2
TCF
69%
17%
14%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
CDT
1 - 0
ZAM
50%
28%
22%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
ALB
1 - 0
CDT
60%
25%
15%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
CDT
2 - 0
PLA
76%
17%
7%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
ARG
1 - 1
CDT
65%
18%
17%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
CDT
2 - 1
GUA
73%
19%
8%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |