Toscal vs Arganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
7.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
CDT
2 - 1
TCF
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
TCF
3 - 1
LEG
89%
7%
3%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
COL
1 - 0
TCF
68%
17%
14%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
TCF
2 - 3
CAR
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
SDA
0 - 0
TCF
37%
24%
39%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Arganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1977 |
ARG
0 - 2
ZAM
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1977 |
ALB
1 - 0
ARG
82%
12%
6%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1977 |
ARG
3 - 0
PLA
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +3 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
GUA
2 - 0
ARG
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
CDT
2 - 1
ARG
80%
12%
8%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | -1 |