Torviscal vs Orellana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torviscal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
HER
0 - 0
TOR
62%
21%
17%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 1
GAR
43%
25%
32%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Orellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2009 |
ORE
3 - 1
CPC
43%
25%
33%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CAS
0 - 2
ORE
64%
19%
17%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
ORE
4 - 2
CHI
46%
24%
30%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
BRO
2 - 1
ORE
13%
20%
66%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ORE
1 - 1
ARR
26%
23%
51%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |