Tortola CF vs Hogar Alcarreño B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
58.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+554%
+256%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tortola CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
JAD
4 - 3
TOR
39%
22%
39%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
7 - 1
CES
58%
20%
23%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
3 - 1
USA
44%
22%
34%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ALM
4 - 2
TOR
79%
13%
9%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
TOR
6 - 0
YEB
42%
22%
36%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | +2 |
Matches
Hogar Alcarreño B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HOG
2 - 0
ALM
32%
21%
47%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
YEB
0 - 3
HOG
17%
18%
64%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
HOG
3 - 1
DAM
58%
20%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
RAY
3 - 4
HOG
31%
22%
47%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HOG
1 - 2
IBE
67%
17%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | -1 |