Torrevieja vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
27.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torrevieja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
NUC
2 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 1
ALI
48%
27%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
JOV
1 - 1
TOR
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TOR
2 - 0
PUÇ
62%
22%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
UTI
1 - 4
TOR
30%
26%
44%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
NOV
0 - 1
ALI
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
PUÇ
1 - 0
NOV
27%
28%
45%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
4 - 0
OND
52%
25%
23%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 0
NOV
44%
28%
29%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
NOV
2 - 0
CRE
63%
22%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |