Torreense vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Torreense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
EVN
2 - 0
TOR
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
TOR
60%
20%
19%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
TOR
1 - 1
1DE
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 3
TOR
69%
19%
12%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ORI
0 - 1
TOR
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAR
3 - 1
CAL
44%
25%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 0
MON
72%
18%
11%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAL
20%
24%
56%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 1
LOU
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |