Montevideo City Torque vs Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
ATE
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 5
JUN
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
VIL
56%
25%
20%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 3
CEN
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
TOR
2 - 2
CAN
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2014 |
PRO
3 - 0
JUN
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
PRO
1 - 2
CEN
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
HFC
0 - 0
PRO
52%
25%
24%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
PRO
0 - 0
VIL
46%
26%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CSC
3 - 3
PRO
50%
24%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |