Montevideo City Torque vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
CER
1 - 3
TOR
29%
27%
44%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 0
FEN
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
TOR
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2021 |
TOR
2 - 1
REN
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 3
TOR
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIV
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
DEF
59%
23%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 1
MWA
40%
26%
35%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 1
BOS
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
1 - 1
DEF
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |