Montevideo City Torque vs Cerro Largo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montevideo City Torque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
TOR
38%
27%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 2
HFC
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ORI
3 - 0
TOR
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TOR
2 - 2
PRO
63%
21%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CEL
3 - 2
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Largo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CEL
2 - 0
ORI
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 0
CEL
30%
27%
44%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CEL
4 - 1
ROC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
CAN
2 - 2
CEL
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
CEL
3 - 2
TOR
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |