Toros Neza vs Pumas Morelos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
15%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 1
TOR
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
4 - 2
UDG
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAZ
19%
23%
58%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 0
TOR
86%
10%
4%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
MER
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
PUM
2 - 0
JAG
21%
25%
55%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | +2 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
EST
2 - 0
PUM
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
SNL
2 - 0
PUM
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
IRA
2 - 2
PUM
62%
22%
15%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |