Toros Neza vs Pachuca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
43.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
UAT
0 - 1
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAF
60%
20%
20%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 3
NEC
45%
29%
27%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
EST
0 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
CAF
1 - 0
TOR
38%
24%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Pachuca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SNL
1 - 0
PAC
31%
28%
41%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
PAC
1 - 0
ATL
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
PAC
3 - 2
MOR
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PAC
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
ATL
0 - 1
PAC
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |