Toros Neza vs Orizaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
11.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
VER
1 - 1
TOR
18%
24%
58%
|
60 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
TOR
0 - 3
OUN
74%
16%
9%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | -2 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 0
RCU
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
IPC
1 - 1
TOR
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
TUT
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Orizaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
TIA
2 - 2
ORI
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
ORI
4 - 1
VER
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
CIU
3 - 1
ORI
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ORI
2 - 2
CIU
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 0
OUN
57%
24%
19%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -2 |