Toros Neza vs Ocelotes de la UNACH analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 0
RCU
79%
14%
7%
|
62 | 34 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
IPC
1 - 1
TOR
22%
25%
53%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
TUT
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAZ
2 - 1
TOR
34%
29%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
ATC
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Ocelotes de la UNACH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
ORI
0 - 0
OUN
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
OUN
2 - 1
VER
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TIA
2 - 0
OUN
59%
22%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
RCU
2 - 3
OUN
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
OUN
2 - 0
IPC
53%
24%
23%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |