Toros Neza vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 0
TOR
35%
28%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TOR
3 - 0
UDG
58%
24%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
LOB
0 - 1
TOR
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
UAT
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 2
TOR
60%
24%
16%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
NEC
3 - 1
IRA
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 2
LEO
36%
27%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MER
1 - 0
IRA
34%
28%
38%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
IRA
1 - 0
DOR
57%
24%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 1
IRA
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |