Toronto II vs Forward Madison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 2019 |
LIG
1 - 0
TOR
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 3
NOT
22%
25%
53%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 0
LIG
28%
24%
48%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +2 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
CRW
2 - 2
TOR
66%
19%
15%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2019 |
TOR
3 - 2
NOT
19%
24%
57%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Forward Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
FMA
4 - 1
NOT
24%
27%
49%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
FMA
2 - 1
TUC
67%
19%
14%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
ORL
2 - 1
FMA
44%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2019 |
FMA
0 - 1
LIG
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
LOU
3 - 1
FMA
33%
23%
44%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |