Toronto FC vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Toronto FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
GAL
3 - 0
TOR
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
3 - 2
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
3 - 0
CHI
61%
23%
17%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CFS
1 - 1
TOR
58%
24%
19%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 2
PHU
35%
27%
38%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
RBN
1 - 0
HOD
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
HOD
2 - 0
CFS
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
PHU
0 - 0
HOD
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
HOD
2 - 2
COC
37%
27%
37%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HOD
3 - 2
MON
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |